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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Thursday, 24 September 2020

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 13
  4. 15
  5. 31
  6. 48
  7. 43

Jackpot€6,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 789 of 1,644 under them

← 2020-09-19All recent draws2020-09-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 13 15 31 48 + 4329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each

3106times
1092times
1389times
15100times
31

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-24

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€10.2Mto 269k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • 613%€1.3M
  • 320%€2.0M
  • 6+R54%€5.5M
  • 3 other tiers13%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

91times
4883times

Every number was expected about that many times after 788 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 10, 13, 31) with the draw of 5 September 2019 — its closest relative in 788 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€650,670
  • 5+C7≈ 6.6 by chance€27,886
  • 5282≈ 279 by chance€1,500
  • 414,569≈ 15k by chance€46.89
  • 3253,893≈ 273k by chance€8.00
  • 6+R1€5,526,936
  • R0€1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 253,893 winners, 7% fewer than the 273k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R1€5,526,936
    62€650,670
    5+C7€27,886
    5282€1,500
    414,569€46.89
    3253,893€8.00
    R0€1.00