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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Thursday, 22 May 2025

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 18
  5. 23
  6. 41
  7. 2

Jackpot€59,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 1,425 of 1,643 under them

← 2025-05-19All recent draws2025-05-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 16 18 23 41 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each

1211times
15183times
16172times
18168times
23

Prize breakdown · 2025-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€63.6Mto 1.3M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.94

Where the money went

  • 62.0%€1.3M
  • 32.7%€1.7M
  • 6+R92%€58.4M
  • 4 other tiers3.5%€2.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.94 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

174times
41179times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,424 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 18, 23, 41) with the draw of 7 May 2022 — its closest relative in 1,424 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 May 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,294,598
  • 5+C4≈ 5.6 by chance€52,484
  • 5176≈ 236 by chance€2,187
  • 411,356≈ 13k by chance€49.30
  • 3214,907≈ 231k by chance€8.00
  • 6+R1€58,394,676
  • R1,042,893€1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 11,356 winners, 10% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R1€58,394,676
    61€1,294,598
    5+C4€52,484
    5176€2,187
    411,356€49.30
    3214,907€8.00
    R1,042,893€1.00