Number 4

In La Primitiva under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013 rules — 1,643 draws, 6 from 1–49.

193times drawn · chance expected 201 −0.62σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 77% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

54longest completed wait · 17% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 193 times in 1,643 draws against 201.2 expected, −0.62σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 40 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 193 times in 1,643 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 54 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest143 · chance 137.7
2nd smallest45 · chance 50.4
3rd smallest5 · chance 4.8
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

40 7 36 14 17 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-05	2	1st	4 10 20 25 40 49
2026-10-01	4	1st	4 14 16 22 33 45
2026-09-21	4	2nd	1 4 20 34 36 37
2026-09-12	11	2nd	3

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-07-28	6	1st	4 15 24 37 38 40
2025-07-14	3	1st	4 6 17 20 45 46
2025-07-07	10	1st	4 9 34 36 37 43
2025-06-14	2	1st	4 6 8 18 28 42
2025-06-09	6	1st	4 6 13 15 31 35
2025-05-26	5	1st	4 13 28 33 41 43
2025-05-15	5	1st	4 16 28 35 39 42
2025-05-03	6	2nd	1 4 16 25 33 37
2025-04-19	1	2nd	2 4 17 30 34 46
2025-04-17	3	2nd	2 4 6 32 33 39
2025-04-10	1	1st	4 14 15 39 45 46
2025-04-07	2	2nd	3 4 7 8 22 33
2025-04-03	10	1st	4 8 9 14 23 45
2025-03-10	33	1st	4 7 15 37 48 49
2024-12-23	1	2nd	1 4 10 12 25 49
2024-12-21	10	1st	4 7 21 23 31 46
2024-11-28	8	1st	4 5 6 39 41 46
2024-11-09	17	2nd	2 4 6 14 15 42
2024-09-30	5	1st	4 8 17 25 30 36
2024-09-19	14	1st	4 12 23 38 44 46
2024-08-17	11	1st	4 13 14 16 17 44
2024-07-22	6	2nd	2 4 11 18 38 48
2024-07-08	13	1st	4 5 12 21 39 48
2024-06-08	15	2nd	3 4 10 29 31 48
2024-05-04	5	1st	4 5 8 14 17 18
2024-04-22	2	1st	4 14 22 29 35 42
2024-04-18	3	1st	4 13 15 29 34 36
2024-04-11	9	1st	4 9 18 38 41 47
2024-03-21	7	1st	4 17 31 39 48 49
2024-03-04	2	1st	4 8 30 43 47 48
2024-02-29	3	1st	4 18 21 25 35 45
2024-02-22	46	1st	4 6 10 17 26 37
2023-11-06	9	1st	4 23 26 31 35 47
2023-10-16	1	1st	4 5 8 10 27 36
2023-10-14	4	1st	4 6 19 20 40 48
2023-10-05	26	1st	4 6 14 35 40 45
2023-08-05	4	1st	4 5 8 11 20 40
2023-07-27	35	1st	4 10 20 24 42 48
2023-05-06	4	1st	4 16 17 28 37 44
2023-04-27	2	1st	4 7 8 46 47 48
2023-04-22	35	2nd	1 4 7 8 43 44
2023-01-30	22	2nd	2 4 14 21 32 34
2022-12-10	18	1st	4 6 11 19 30 48
2022-10-29	3	1st	4 7 13 29 42 44
2022-10-22	24	1st	4 15 16 24 26 28
2022-08-27	13	1st	4 5 34 40 43 45
2022-07-28	12	1st	4 7 14 28 34 49
2022-06-25	27	2nd	2 4 12 21 40 45
2022-03-24	1	1st	4 13 18 22 36 46
2022-03-19	1	1st	4 9 10 15 16 40
2022-03-17	8	1st	4 13 19 22 30 47
2022-02-17	5	1st	4 5 13 16 26 29
2022-01-29	4	1st	4 7 11 31 32 49
2022-01-15	8	1st	4 5 13 19 25 27
2021-12-18	1	2nd	3 4 27 29 32 45
2021-12-16	1	1st	4 10 14 15 22 45
2021-12-11	1	1st	4 7 13 14 39 40
2021-12-09	1	3rd	2 3 4 27 28 37
2021-12-04	2	2nd	1 4 6 8 19 27
2021-11-27	4	2nd	2 4 6 13 18 19
2021-11-13	9	1st	4 19 34 38 43 48
2021-10-14	8	1st	4 8 19 21 24 33
2021-09-16	3	1st	4 13 14 19 41 44
2021-09-04	2	2nd	2 4 8 23 33 44
2021-08-28	2	1st	4 10 15 16 34 49
2021-08-21	1	2nd	1 4 5 14 19 45
2021-08-19	15	1st	4 13 18 28 33 40
2021-06-26	14	2nd	1 4 22 35 39 40
2021-05-08	3	1st	4 7 10 18 27 31
2021-04-29	34	2nd	1 4 36 37 42 43
2020-12-31	2	1st	4 5 7 15 24 38
2020-12-24	1	1st	4 6 11 32 36 43
2020-12-19	6	1st	4 6 9 11 19 23
2020-11-28	7	2nd	2 4 13 21 25 28
2020-11-05	7	2nd	1 4 10 22 31 41
2020-10-10	3	2nd	1 4 16 27 36 44
2020-10-01	12	1st	4 6 10 25 29 41
2020-08-20	2	1st	4 7 14 22 45 47
2020-08-13	7	2nd	1 4 6 17 23 26
2020-07-18	3	1st	4 13 38 39 40 42
2020-07-09	1	1st	4 11 22 24 27 36
2020-07-04	10	1st	4 7 12 15 36 41
2020-05-30	13	2nd	2 4 15 17 36 40
2020-02-13	1	1st	4 12 20 36 40 45
2020-02-08	20	1st	4 20 25 28 46 49
2019-11-30	54	2nd	2 4 7 9 16 41
2019-05-25	9	1st	4 17 19 36 38 48
2019-04-25	1	1st	4 15 16 21 28 42
2019-04-20	6	2nd	2 4 19 40 44 45
2019-03-30	7	1st	4 5 22 32 44 45
2019-03-07	4	1st	4 6 15 21 26 40
2019-02-21	42	1st	4 13 26 40 41 48
2018-09-27	2	1st	4 10 17 18 21 42
2018-09-20	1	1st	4 24 26 34 36 46
2018-09-15	4	1st	4 21 24 26 34 36
2018-09-01	5	1st	4 7 19 37 44 45
2018-08-16	2	2nd	2 4 5 13 30 38
2018-08-09	6	1st	4 12 15 17 37 46
2018-07-19	24	1st	4 5 9 22 39 49
2018-04-26	13	1st	4 11 25 36 40 49
2018-03-10	4	1st	4 18 20 25 30 49
2018-02-24	1	1st	4 5 12 27 43 45
2018-02-22	6	1st	4 8 11 23 34 35
2018-02-01	11	2nd	1 4 38 42 46 49
2017-12-23	5	1st	4 24 26 30 39 46
2017-12-07	19	3rd	1 3 4 7 14 45
2017-09-30	5	1st	4 6 31 33 35 42
2017-09-14	3	1st	4 7 16 18 23 36
2017-09-02	1	2nd	1 4 18 37 40 49
2017-08-31	48	1st	4 15 20 35 39 41
2017-03-16	2	1st	4 38 39 41 45 49
2017-03-09	7	2nd	3 4 24 30 36 44
2017-02-11	3	1st	4 22 36 40 43 47
2017-02-02	3	1st	4 5 17 24 27 28
2017-01-21	22	1st	4 9 15 29 37 45
2016-11-05	2	1st	4 7 14 30 46 49
2016-10-29	1	1st	4 14 16 26 38 47
2016-10-27	5	2nd	2 4 22 23 32 35
2016-10-08	4	1st	4 9 20 29 41 49
2016-09-24	5	1st	4 9 21 42 45 48
2016-09-08	1	1st	4 5 7 29 42 46
2016-09-03	13	1st	4 14 30 31 34 44
2016-07-21	3	1st	4 5 22 36 42 47
2016-07-09	2	1st	4 5 37 40 41 45
2016-07-02	16	1st	4 14 15 16 18 40
2016-05-07	2	1st	4 5 16 18 21 36
2016-04-30	29	1st	4 13 31 41 43 48
2016-01-21	2	1st	4 15 17 19 24 37
2016-01-14	1	1st	4 11 19 40 46 49
2016-01-09	18	1st	4 10 12 14 17 47
2015-11-07	29	2nd	3 4 20 24 29 49
2015-07-30	1	1st	4 8 13 19 32 46
2015-07-25	3	1st	4 6 12 16 25 43
2015-07-16	15	3rd	2 3 4 7 21 38
2015-05-23	10	2nd	2 4 6 31 39 42
2015-04-18	3	1st	4 6 17 18 36 38
2015-04-09	5	1st	4 8 13 16 39 46
2015-03-21	10	1st	4 5 11 23 40 44
2015-02-14	3	2nd	1 4 12 33 44 47
2015-02-05	6	1st	4 7 32 34 46 49
2015-01-15	19	1st	4 12 13 24 35 43
2014-11-08	5	1st	4 17 32 33 35 37
2014-10-23	4	1st	4 15 22 30 32 41
2014-10-09	17	1st	4 7 14 38 39 42
2014-08-09	7	2nd	2 4 8 22 24 39
2014-07-17	13	1st	4 18 23 26 28 37
2014-05-31	8	1st	4 12 14 30 42 43
2014-05-03	6	1st	4 5 14 16 45 49
2014-04-12	7	1st	4 13 19 22 24 27
2014-03-20	7	1st	4 7 12 14 15 49
2014-02-22	1	1st	4 15 25 30 39 44
2014-02-20	3	2nd	1 4 17 27 34 49
2014-02-08	1	1st	4 7 22 29 30 40
2014-02-06	13	1st	4 23 32 36 37 46
2013-12-21	5	1st	4 9 37 38 40 43
2013-12-05	19	3rd	1 2 4 5 26 36
2013-09-28	14	1st	4 28 29 33 42 47
2013-08-10	6	1st	4 12 21 29 35 38
2013-07-20	2	1st	4 22 26 27 31 33
2013-07-13	3	3rd	1 2 4 17 23 31
2013-07-04	1	1st	4 12 14 16 39 41
2013-06-29	1	1st	4 9 17 23 34 38
2013-06-27	18	2nd	3 4 19 20 21 36
2013-04-25	1	1st	4 5 21 32 35 47
2013-04-20	3	1st	4 10 17 22 35 48
2013-04-11	11	1st	4 6 21 26 33 40
2013-03-02	4	1st	4 6 7 12 18 39
2013-02-16	12	1st	4 15 16 22 30 41
2013-01-05	—	2nd	1 4 9 11 38 48