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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Every number
How often each number has come up, next to how often chance says it should. Any number opens its own page. Back to La Primitiva
Across 1,643 draws, each number is expected about 201 times. Not one stands out, even before allowing for the fact that testing all 49 numbers at once would throw up about 0.5 apparent findings by luck alone. Nothing survives it: these draws behave exactly as random draws should.
| Number | Drawn | Expected | Deviation | σ | Last seen | Draws since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 231 | 201.2 | +2.24 | 2026-09-21 | 9 | |
| 12 | 231 | 201.2 | +2.24 | 2026-09-05 | 16 | |
| 40 | 226 | 201.2 | +1.87 | 2026-10-12 | 0 | |
| 28 | 221 | 201.2 | +1.49 | 2026-09-07 | 15 | |
| 45 | 218 | 201.2 | +1.27 | 2026-10-12 | 0 | |
| 43 | 216 | 201.2 | +1.12 | 2026-09-17 | 11 | |
| 38 | 215 | 201.2 | +1.04 | 2026-09-24 | 8 | |
| 7 | 212 | 201.2 | +0.81 | 2026-10-08 | 2 | |
| 30 | 212 | 201.2 | +0.81 | 2026-09-26 | 7 | |
| 14 | 210 | 201.2 | +0.66 | 2026-10-08 | 2 | |
| 36 | 208 | 201.2 | +0.51 | 2026-09-26 | 7 | |
| 2 | 207 | 201.2 | +0.44 | 2026-10-12 | 0 | |
| 10 | 207 | 201.2 | +0.44 | 2026-10-10 | 1 | |
| 37 | 207 | 201.2 | +0.44 | 2026-10-08 | 2 | |
| 41 | 207 | 201.2 | +0.44 | 2026-08-31 | 18 | |
| 15 | 206 | 201.2 | +0.36 | 2026-09-14 | 12 | |
| 11 | 205 | 201.2 | +0.29 | 2026-08-29 | 19 | |
| 16 | 205 | 201.2 | +0.29 | 2026-10-10 | 1 | |
| 19 | 205 | 201.2 | +0.29 | 2026-09-17 | 11 | |
| 3 | 204 | 201.2 | +0.21 | 2026-09-26 | 7 | |
| 22 | 204 | 201.2 | +0.21 | 2026-10-10 | 1 | |
| 46 | 203 | 201.2 | +0.14 | 2026-09-19 | 10 | |
| 49 | 203 | 201.2 | +0.14 | 2026-10-05 | 3 | |
| 23 | 202 | 201.2 | +0.06 | 2026-08-31 | 18 | |
| 20 | 201 | 201.2 | -0.01 | 2026-10-10 | 1 | |
| 35 | 201 | 201.2 | -0.01 | 2026-09-14 | 12 | |
| 39 | 200 | 201.2 | -0.09 | 2026-09-14 | 12 | |
| 32 | 199 | 201.2 | -0.16 | 2026-09-24 | 8 | |
| 5 | 198 | 201.2 | -0.24 | 2026-10-12 | 0 | |
| 6 | 198 | 201.2 | -0.24 | 2026-10-08 | 2 | |
| 8 | 198 | 201.2 | -0.24 | 2026-08-27 | 20 | |
| 26 | 197 | 201.2 | -0.31 | 2026-10-12 | 0 | |
| 18 | 196 | 201.2 | -0.39 | 2026-10-10 | 1 | |
| 34 | 196 | 201.2 | -0.39 | 2026-09-28 | 6 | |
| 9 | 194 | 201.2 | -0.54 | 2026-09-26 | 7 | |
| 4 | 193 | 201.2 | -0.62 | 2026-10-05 | 3 | |
| 13 | 192 | 201.2 | -0.69 | 2026-08-15 | 25 | |
| 17 | 192 | 201.2 | -0.69 | 2026-09-10 | 14 | |
| 24 | 191 | 201.2 | -0.77 | 2026-10-03 | 4 | |
| 29 | 191 | 201.2 | -0.77 | 2026-10-10 | 1 | |
| 44 | 191 | 201.2 | -0.77 | 2026-10-03 | 4 | |
| 21 | 189 | 201.2 | -0.92 | 2026-10-08 | 2 | |
| 33 | 189 | 201.2 | -0.92 | 2026-10-01 | 5 | |
| 31 | 188 | 201.2 | -0.99 | 2026-09-05 | 16 | |
| 42 | 186 | 201.2 | -1.14 | 2026-10-12 | 0 | |
| 48 | 184 | 201.2 | -1.29 | 2026-09-10 | 14 | |
| 47 | 182 | 201.2 | -1.44 | 2026-09-05 | 16 | |
| 27 | 176 | 201.2 | -1.90 | 2026-10-03 | 4 | |
| 25 | 171 | 201.2 | -2.27 | 2026-10-05 | 3 |
One more ball from the same 49 — its own tally, because it decides a different prize.
| Number | Drawn | Expected | Deviation | σ | Last seen | Draws since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 48 | 33.5 | +2.52 | 2026-08-01 | 31 | |
| 6 | 46 | 33.5 | +2.18 | 2026-09-28 | 6 | |
| 18 | 45 | 33.5 | +2.00 | 2026-09-21 | 9 | |
| 16 | 43 | 33.5 | +1.65 | 2026-07-04 | 43 | |
| 23 | 43 | 33.5 | +1.65 | 2026-10-12 | 0 | |
| 34 | 41 | 33.5 | +1.30 | 2026-09-14 | 12 | |
| 4 | 40 | 33.5 | +1.13 | 2026-03-21 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. Each draw is independent: a number absent for fifty draws is exactly as likely to appear tonight as one drawn yesterday. The point of comparing against expectation is to show when a difference is ordinary — which, in a fair draw, it almost always is.
| 88 |
| 17 | 40 | 33.5 | +1.13 | 2026-07-25 | 34 |
| 26 | 40 | 33.5 | +1.13 | 2026-09-26 | 7 |
| 29 | 40 | 33.5 | +1.13 | 2026-10-05 | 3 |
| 15 | 39 | 33.5 | +0.95 | 2026-06-13 | 52 |
| 21 | 39 | 33.5 | +0.95 | 2026-08-29 | 19 |
| 32 | 39 | 33.5 | +0.95 | 2026-03-09 | 93 |
| 25 | 38 | 33.5 | +0.78 | 2026-10-08 | 2 |
| 8 | 36 | 33.5 | +0.43 | 2026-08-03 | 30 |
| 11 | 36 | 33.5 | +0.43 | 2026-10-10 | 1 |
| 20 | 36 | 33.5 | +0.43 | 2026-02-19 | 101 |
| 40 | 36 | 33.5 | +0.43 | 2025-10-23 | 152 |
| 46 | 36 | 33.5 | +0.43 | 2026-10-01 | 5 |
| 1 | 35 | 33.5 | +0.26 | 2026-09-05 | 16 |
| 2 | 35 | 33.5 | +0.26 | 2026-08-20 | 23 |
| 10 | 35 | 33.5 | +0.26 | 2026-04-23 | 74 |
| 33 | 35 | 33.5 | +0.26 | 2026-06-18 | 50 |
| 41 | 35 | 33.5 | +0.26 | 2026-07-16 | 38 |
| 42 | 35 | 33.5 | +0.26 | 2026-06-22 | 48 |
| 27 | 34 | 33.5 | +0.08 | 2026-06-01 | 57 |
| 19 | 33 | 33.5 | -0.09 | 2026-09-19 | 10 |
| 24 | 33 | 33.5 | -0.09 | 2026-07-06 | 42 |
| 37 | 32 | 33.5 | -0.27 | 2026-08-24 | 21 |
| 30 | 31 | 33.5 | -0.44 | 2026-08-31 | 18 |
| 49 | 31 | 33.5 | -0.44 | 2026-02-12 | 104 |
| 7 | 30 | 33.5 | -0.62 | 2026-06-29 | 45 |
| 12 | 29 | 33.5 | -0.79 | 2026-10-03 | 4 |
| 13 | 29 | 33.5 | -0.79 | 2026-09-03 | 17 |
| 14 | 29 | 33.5 | -0.79 | 2025-07-07 | 198 |
| 45 | 29 | 33.5 | -0.79 | 2026-05-02 | 70 |
| 3 | 28 | 33.5 | -0.97 | 2026-09-10 | 14 |
| 28 | 28 | 33.5 | -0.97 | 2026-09-24 | 8 |
| 38 | 28 | 33.5 | -0.97 | 2025-10-09 | 158 |
| 43 | 28 | 33.5 | -0.97 | 2025-12-06 | 133 |
| 5 | 27 | 33.5 | -1.14 | 2026-07-18 | 37 |
| 22 | 26 | 33.5 | -1.31 | 2026-01-15 | 116 |
| 31 | 25 | 33.5 | -1.49 | 2026-05-21 | 62 |
| 35 | 25 | 33.5 | -1.49 | 2025-06-16 | 207 |
| 39 | 25 | 33.5 | -1.49 | 2025-12-15 | 129 |
| 47 | 25 | 33.5 | -1.49 | 2026-09-17 | 11 |
| 48 | 23 | 33.5 | -1.84 | 2026-08-27 | 20 |
| 9 | 22 | 33.5 | -2.01 | 2026-07-02 | 44 |
| 36 | 22 | 33.5 | -2.01 | 2025-09-22 | 165 |