Number 5

In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–49.

15times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.52σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

28longest completed wait · 34% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 108 draws against 13.2 expected, +0.52σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 108 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest9 · chance 9.5
2nd smallest6 · chance 4.8
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.7
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 8 10 18 21 34

Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-03	11	1st	5 9 10 15 34 37
2026-08-26	5	1st	5 12 17 20 41 48
2026-08-08	4	2nd	3 5 8 22 23 45
2026-07-25	8	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.