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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 18 times in 108 draws against 13.2 expected, +1.40σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 6 times, counted separately.
Drawn 18 times in 108 draws · average wait 6.0 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 6 | 2nd | 138173043 |
| 2026-09-05 | 8 | 1st | 3416212326 |
| 2026-08-08 | 6 | 1st | 358222345 |
| 2026-07-18 | 3 | 1st | 3627314142 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2 | 1st | 31016253034 |
| 2026-07-01 | 5 | 2nd | 2310184246 |
| 2026-06-13 | 2 | 1st | 3912141731 |
| 2026-06-06 | 12 | 1st | 3820283049 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 1st | 3830354145 |
| 2026-04-11 | 19 | 1st | 3812163335 |
| 2026-02-04 | 4 | 1st | 31117223445 |
| 2026-01-21 | 9 | 2nd | 2313162848 |
| 2025-12-20 | 3 | 1st | 32834364344 |
| 2025-12-10 | 1 | 1st | 3715222537 |
| 2025-12-06 | 5 | 1st | 31216172840 |
| 2025-11-19 | 4 | 1st | 3410113136 |
| 2025-11-01 | 9 | 1st | 3717213244 |
| 2025-10-01 | — | 1st | 3726273648 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.