Number 4

In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–49.

12times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.36σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

16longest completed wait · 81% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 108 draws against 13.2 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 108 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 8.6
2nd smallest4 · chance 3.1
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.3
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11 36 23 30 3 13

Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-05	15	2nd	3 4 16 21 23 26
2026-07-15	6	1st	4 11 22 27 33 36
2026-06-24	6	1st	4 23 24 29 35 38
2026-06-03	7	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.