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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 16 times in 108 draws against 13.2 expected, +0.81σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 16 times in 108 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 31 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 3 | 1st | 21025303248 |
| 2026-09-30 | 11 | 1st | 21017303541 |
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 1st | 22223293041 |
| 2026-08-12 | 9 | 1st | 21119243033 |
| 2026-07-11 | 2 | 1st | 2619303139 |
| 2026-07-04 | 1 | 1st | 22224263640 |
| 2026-07-01 | 31 | 1st | 2310184246 |
| 2026-03-14 | 6 | 1st | 21014202440 |
| 2026-02-21 | 9 | 1st | 22728333441 |
| 2026-01-21 | 11 | 1st | 2313162848 |
| 2025-12-13 | 4 | 1st | 259213042 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1 | 1st | 21315262742 |
| 2025-11-26 | 5 | 1st | 2430364042 |
| 2025-11-05 | 4 | 1st | 22437394045 |
| 2025-10-22 | 1 | 1st | 21222253149 |
| 2025-10-18 | — | 1st | 21320294248 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.