Number 15

In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–49.

9times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.24σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

11.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

26longest completed wait · 27% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 108 draws against 13.2 expected, −1.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 108 draws · average wait 11.0 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.5
2nd smallest2 · chance 3.4
3rd smallest5 · chance 2.9
4th smallest1 · chance 1.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 10 13 25 40 1

Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-03	5	4th	5 9 10 15 34 37
2026-09-16	2	3rd	7 13 15 26 37 40
2026-09-09	23	2nd	14 15 24 40 41 43
2026-06-20	26	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.