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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 13 times in 108 draws against 13.2 expected, −0.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.
Drawn 13 times in 108 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 25 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 16 | 3rd | 21025303248 |
| 2026-08-15 | 3 | 2nd | 212526272932 |
| 2026-08-05 | 1 | 3rd | 61725273146 |
| 2026-08-01 | 7 | 3rd | 172125283847 |
| 2026-07-08 | 19 | 4th | 31016253034 |
| 2026-05-02 | 12 | 4th | 111214254849 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 5th | 101315212532 |
| 2026-03-07 | 25 | 3rd | 152125283340 |
| 2025-12-10 | 8 | 5th | 3715222537 |
| 2025-11-08 | 3 | 3rd | 5625282934 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2 | 3rd | 132125293542 |
| 2025-10-22 | 3 | 4th | 21222253149 |
| 2025-10-11 | — | 2nd | 122535374548 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.