In Wild Money under the 5/38 + 1/38 · since Apr 2025 rules — 539 draws, 5 from 1–38.
80times drawn · chance expected 71 +1.16σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.6
26longest completed wait · 91% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 80 times in 539 draws against 70.9 expected, +1.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 18 times, counted separately.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 80 times in 539 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 26 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 37 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/38 tonight whatever it did last week.