In Wild Money under the 5/38 + 1/38 · since Apr 2025 rules — 539 draws, 5 from 1–38.
57times drawn · chance expected 71 −1.77σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 57% for any number
9.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.6
44longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long
21 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 57 times in 539 draws against 70.9 expected, −1.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 14 times, counted separately.
21
Number 21, draw by draw
Drawn 57 times in 539 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 37 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 5/38 tonight whatever it did last week.