In Wild Money under the 5/38 + 1/38 · since Apr 2025 rules — 540 draws, 5 from 1–38.
58times drawn · chance expected 71 −1.66σ
8draws waiting · a wait this long: 37% for any number
9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.6
41longest completed wait · 18% chance of one at least that long
2 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 58 times in 540 draws against 71.1 expected, −1.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 15 times, counted separately.
2
Number 2, draw by draw
Drawn 58 times in 540 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 37 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 5/38 tonight whatever it did last week.