Number 4

In Wild Money under the 5/38 + 1/35 · Nov 2016 – Apr 2025 rules — 2,314 draws, 5 from 1–38 (an earlier era).

316times drawn · chance expected 304 +0.71σ

35draws waiting · a wait this long: 0.8% for any number

7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.6

37longest completed wait · 86% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 316 times in 2,314 draws against 304.5 expected, +0.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 35 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 316 times in 2,314 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 35 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest217 · chance 221.9
2nd smallest89 · chance 85.9
3rd smallest9 · chance 8.1
4th smallest1 · chance 0.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 34.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 27 28 9 23 1

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 37 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-03-16	6	1st	4 8 12 24 35
2025-03-10	2	1st	4 10 23 24 37
2025-03-08	4	1st	4 18 21 23 37
2025-03-04	3	1st	4 18

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/38 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-09-20	6	1st	4 12 19 32 33
2024-09-14	4	2nd	2 4 8 18 34
2024-09-10	1	1st	4 7 11 33 38
2024-09-09	5	3rd	1 2 4 14 22
2024-09-04	9	1st	4 26 27 29 36
2024-08-26	3	1st	4 12 14 21 28
2024-08-23	9	1st	4 20 30 36 37
2024-08-14	7	2nd	3 4 10 21 25
2024-08-07	3	1st	4 11 13 28 30
2024-08-04	12	1st	4 16 24 35 36
2024-07-23	7	1st	4 15 26 28 32
2024-07-16	4	1st	4 7 26 27 38
2024-07-12	14	1st	4 6 18 22 32
2024-06-28	2	1st	4 9 16 19 37
2024-06-26	4	1st	4 24 28 30 36
2024-06-22	5	1st	4 10 19 25 33
2024-06-17	36	2nd	2 4 12 25 32
2024-05-12	6	2nd	3 4 10 21 27
2024-05-06	2	1st	4 18 28 33 37
2024-05-04	15	1st	4 25 26 34 36
2024-04-19	4	1st	4 8 10 28 33
2024-04-15	2	1st	4 10 11 25 36
2024-04-13	5	2nd	2 4 13 27 37
2024-04-08	18	3rd	1 3 4 17 27
2024-03-21	1	2nd	1 4 8 26 34
2024-03-20	6	1st	4 6 22 28 33
2024-03-14	5	3rd	2 3 4 27 38
2024-03-09	3	2nd	2 4 7 21 33
2024-03-06	4	1st	4 6 8 19 22
2024-03-02	1	2nd	2 4 5 10 25
2024-03-01	19	3rd	1 3 4 11 32
2024-02-11	1	2nd	3 4 19 26 34
2024-02-10	5	1st	4 9 27 28 37
2024-02-05	9	2nd	1 4 16 25 33
2024-01-27	7	1st	4 6 10 11 34
2024-01-20	3	1st	4 5 7 10 23
2024-01-17	1	1st	4 10 11 31 35
2024-01-16	2	1st	4 9 25 34 36
2024-01-14	26	1st	4 8 13 24 27
2023-12-19	10	1st	4 7 15 18 38
2023-12-09	25	2nd	1 4 14 32 34
2023-11-14	8	1st	4 6 23 32 38
2023-11-06	4	2nd	2 4 19 20 28
2023-11-02	3	1st	4 6 12 21 38
2023-10-30	3	2nd	2 4 13 20 37
2023-10-27	4	2nd	1 4 6 14 22
2023-10-23	3	2nd	3 4 5 22 31
2023-10-20	15	1st	4 9 13 14 16
2023-10-05	4	1st	4 18 19 20 24
2023-10-01	2	1st	4 23 26 27 38
2023-09-29	2	1st	4 6 9 34 36
2023-09-27	5	1st	4 15 20 31 32
2023-09-22	1	2nd	2 4 17 27 28
2023-09-21	8	1st	4 11 21 27 28
2023-09-13	2	1st	4 10 16 19 31
2023-09-11	3	2nd	2 4 9 11 30
2023-09-08	1	1st	4 7 10 33 36
2023-09-07	2	2nd	2 4 5 24 32
2023-09-05	3	2nd	3 4 16 27 32
2023-09-02	2	1st	4 19 27 28 29
2023-08-31	6	1st	4 5 11 18 33
2023-08-25	10	1st	4 22 26 32 34
2023-08-15	19	1st	4 9 30 32 33
2023-07-27	3	1st	4 10 11 20 37
2023-07-24	1	1st	4 9 10 17 18
2023-07-23	6	2nd	1 4 9 22 34
2023-07-17	3	1st	4 9 16 35 38
2023-07-14	6	2nd	2 4 19 22 34
2023-07-08	1	2nd	1 4 20 37 38
2023-07-07	1	2nd	3 4 22 29 32
2023-07-06	2	1st	4 17 21 27 35
2023-07-04	4	1st	4 10 17 23 31
2023-06-30	4	1st	4 5 18 21 25
2023-06-26	6	2nd	1 4 15 24 31
2023-06-20	2	1st	4 8 23 25 27
2023-06-18	2	1st	4 17 22 23 28
2023-06-16	4	1st	4 10 19 27 36
2023-06-12	5	1st	4 10 12 25 33
2023-06-07	5	1st	4 15 21 31 32
2023-06-02	6	1st	4 10 12 16 18
2023-05-27	23	1st	4 8 10 23 24
2023-05-04	3	1st	4 7 9 17 18
2023-05-01	9	1st	4 15 16 19 35
2023-04-22	3	2nd	1 4 10 23 31
2023-04-19	4	1st	4 14 16 26 35
2023-04-15	5	1st	4 7 11 21 33
2023-04-10	5	1st	4 10 17 24 38
2023-04-05	14	1st	4 15 24 36 37
2023-03-22	4	1st	4 5 7 16 26
2023-03-18	2	2nd	1 4 7 21 36
2023-03-16	23	2nd	2 4 13 21 31
2023-02-21	7	1st	4 15 21 24 29
2023-02-14	6	1st	4 7 13 24 38
2023-02-08	15	2nd	2 4 12 22 34
2023-01-24	37	2nd	2 4 5 10 35
2022-12-18	6	1st	4 19 21 32 38
2022-12-12	4	1st	4 10 21 23 36
2022-12-08	2	2nd	3 4 15 23 30
2022-12-06	7	1st	4 7 25 26 27
2022-11-29	3	1st	4 11 18 26 37
2022-11-26	1	1st	4 7 23 26 34
2022-11-25	3	2nd	3 4 20 22 35
2022-11-22	8	1st	4 8 11 28 35
2022-11-14	23	2nd	1 4 9 13 21
2022-10-22	8	2nd	2 4 18 20 31
2022-10-14	5	2nd	1 4 8 34 35
2022-10-09	1	1st	4 13 18 28 38
2022-10-08	4	2nd	3 4 15 23 32
2022-10-04	5	1st	4 7 17 28 31
2022-09-29	1	1st	4 7 15 25 33
2022-09-28	4	1st	4 9 15 20 35
2022-09-24	7	1st	4 11 24 25 27
2022-09-17	1	2nd	2 4 13 22 30
2022-09-16	10	1st	4 18 22 30 35
2022-09-06	8	1st	4 15 23 30 36
2022-08-29	8	1st	4 8 13 16 36
2022-08-21	8	1st	4 13 14 30 37
2022-08-13	27	1st	4 9 17 26 30
2022-07-17	7	1st	4 5 20 26 34
2022-07-10	9	1st	4 9 26 37 38
2022-07-01	11	1st	4 27 29 31 36
2022-06-20	5	2nd	2 4 7 13 30
2022-06-15	3	2nd	1 4 11 22 33
2022-06-12	9	1st	4 12 16 29 37
2022-06-03	16	1st	4 5 13 19 28
2022-05-18	20	2nd	3 4 6 21 31
2022-04-28	4	2nd	3 4 12 18 37
2022-04-24	1	1st	4 7 16 25 28
2022-04-23	7	1st	4 22 23 30 31
2022-04-16	1	1st	4 9 17 19 24
2022-04-15	3	1st	4 7 10 18 23
2022-04-12	3	2nd	1 4 10 20 32
2022-04-09	14	1st	4 5 21 27 29
2022-03-26	1	1st	4 6 13 25 38
2022-03-25	15	1st	4 7 17 25 28
2022-03-10	7	1st	4 10 11 21 29
2022-03-03	24	1st	4 11 15 21 34
2022-02-07	11	1st	4 5 19 27 36
2022-01-27	1	1st	4 5 14 26 32
2022-01-26	10	2nd	3 4 7 12 37
2022-01-16	10	1st	4 14 21 26 36
2022-01-06	4	2nd	2 4 6 32 38
2022-01-02	4	1st	4 19 24 30 37
2021-12-29	1	1st	4 14 29 31 37
2021-12-28	3	2nd	3 4 9 10 26
2021-12-25	3	1st	4 17 26 31 33
2021-12-22	2	2nd	3 4 7 24 30
2021-12-20	11	1st	4 5 13 18 37
2021-12-09	2	1st	4 8 10 18 25
2021-12-07	19	1st	4 11 14 26 32
2021-11-18	13	1st	4 5 19 20 29
2021-11-05	1	1st	4 9 11 20 36
2021-11-04	7	1st	4 8 15 26 27
2021-10-28	6	1st	4 17 18 25 31
2021-10-22	1	2nd	3 4 7 28 32
2021-10-21	1	1st	4 5 19 29 38
2021-10-20	14	1st	4 15 20 29 34
2021-10-06	1	1st	4 9 11 16 31
2021-10-05	11	1st	4 6 12 20 30
2021-09-24	8	1st	4 14 26 35 38
2021-09-16	13	1st	4 14 22 28 35
2021-09-03	4	3rd	2 3 4 8 26
2021-08-30	3	1st	4 7 24 26 38
2021-08-27	6	1st	4 17 26 28 32
2021-08-21	16	1st	4 21 22 23 33
2021-08-05	4	1st	4 6 8 14 33
2021-08-01	2	2nd	2 4 9 18 36
2021-07-30	9	2nd	1 4 11 13 32
2021-07-21	3	1st	4 12 13 27 37
2021-07-18	4	2nd	1 4 5 6 31
2021-07-14	9	2nd	3 4 14 26 35
2021-07-05	4	1st	4 16 20 35 37
2021-07-01	3	2nd	1 4 23 26 31
2021-06-28	15	1st	4 25 26 33 36
2021-06-13	13	2nd	1 4 16 23 33
2021-05-31	8	2nd	1 4 12 16 32
2021-05-23	13	1st	4 17 23 25 28
2021-05-10	17	3rd	1 2 4 22 23
2021-04-23	6	2nd	3 4 13 20 28
2021-04-17	4	1st	4 9 19 29 34
2021-04-13	28	1st	4 6 21 24 35
2021-03-16	10	2nd	2 4 7 27 31
2021-03-06	10	1st	4 13 27 34 37
2021-02-24	3	2nd	3 4 13 14 33
2021-02-21	10	1st	4 5 13 15 29
2021-02-11	5	2nd	1 4 15 25 34
2021-02-06	1	1st	4 8 16 17 24
2021-02-05	8	2nd	3 4 8 25 30
2021-01-28	2	1st	4 8 18 25 38
2021-01-26	17	2nd	1 4 31 33 36
2021-01-09	4	1st	4 10 12 16 20
2021-01-05	7	2nd	3 4 5 30 37
2020-12-29	17	1st	4 6 26 28 31
2020-12-12	1	1st	4 8 26 27 29
2020-12-11	1	1st	4 6 15 22 32
2020-12-10	6	1st	4 23 26 32 36
2020-12-04	23	1st	4 9 19 20 34
2020-11-11	6	1st	4 15 20 23 35
2020-11-05	13	1st	4 5 24 30 33
2020-10-23	2	2nd	3 4 31 35 38
2020-10-21	34	1st	4 9 13 18 28
2020-09-17	2	1st	4 12 23 27 36
2020-09-15	6	1st	4 12 19 21 33
2020-09-09	3	2nd	3 4 11 15 33
2020-09-06	9	1st	4 13 18 27 30
2020-08-28	9	1st	4 5 20 26 28
2020-08-19	1	1st	4 9 10 18 34
2020-08-18	28	1st	4 14 15 27 31
2020-07-21	12	1st	4 9 15 16 29
2020-07-02	5	1st	4 10 22 25 34
2020-06-20	8	1st	4 7 13 14 18
2020-06-02	1	2nd	2 4 17 23 31
2020-05-30	3	2nd	2 4 9 15 29
2020-05-23	4	1st	4 9 17 22 27
2020-05-14	3	1st	4 9 12 22 24
2020-05-07	8	2nd	1 4 15 27 32
2020-04-18	6	1st	4 15 23 25 33
2020-04-04	2	1st	4 9 23 28 35
2020-03-31	3	1st	4 5 20 27 32
2020-03-24	4	1st	4 7 12 26 31
2020-03-14	16	3rd	1 2 4 8 33
2020-02-06	7	1st	4 12 17 28 31
2020-01-21	5	1st	4 8 11 27 30
2020-01-09	2	1st	4 16 22 32 34
2020-01-04	1	1st	4 7 15 31 32
2020-01-02	14	1st	4 19 21 25 31
2019-11-30	3	4th	1 2 3 4 20
2019-11-23	1	1st	4 6 10 21 28
2019-11-21	20	1st	4 8 25 27 31
2019-10-05	8	2nd	1 4 6 20 33
2019-09-17	13	1st	4 9 17 25 33
2019-08-17	5	1st	4 13 21 22 32
2019-08-06	16	1st	4 7 20 28 29
2019-06-29	17	1st	4 11 12 29 34
2019-05-21	24	1st	4 11 17 19 27
2019-03-26	6	1st	4 11 22 24 29
2019-03-12	3	1st	4 9 23 27 32
2019-03-05	5	1st	4 10 11 15 34
2019-02-21	2	2nd	1 4 5 13 29
2019-02-16	22	1st	4 13 16 25 35
2018-12-27	7	1st	4 12 16 24 35
2018-12-11	2	1st	4 14 16 28 35
2018-12-06	11	3rd	1 3 4 10 27
2018-11-10	2	1st	4 5 13 22 34
2018-11-06	8	1st	4 6 18 20 28
2018-10-18	1	2nd	1 4 10 11 22
2018-10-16	2	1st	4 17 19 28 32
2018-10-11	1	2nd	2 4 26 28 30
2018-10-09	1	1st	4 18 19 22 23
2018-10-06	6	2nd	1 4 7 15 27
2018-09-22	4	1st	4 11 33 34 35
2018-09-13	19	1st	4 9 18 26 28
2018-07-31	4	1st	4 17 18 25 30
2018-07-21	1	2nd	1 4 13 21 22
2018-07-19	12	3rd	2 3 4 16 28
2018-06-21	1	2nd	3 4 22 30 32
2018-06-19	4	1st	4 9 13 29 33
2018-06-09	9	1st	4 11 13 26 32
2018-05-19	25	1st	4 5 19 22 23
2018-03-22	15	1st	4 15 17 27 33
2018-02-15	7	1st	4 10 12 24 29
2018-01-30	4	2nd	1 4 26 27 35
2018-01-20	9	1st	4 21 27 29 31
2017-12-30	3	1st	4 7 9 14 35
2017-12-23	7	1st	4 8 18 26 28
2017-12-07	9	1st	4 7 9 17 23
2017-11-16	1	1st	4 5 16 18 34
2017-11-14	2	1st	4 11 18 24 35
2017-11-09	3	1st	4 12 16 24 31
2017-11-02	6	1st	4 20 30 31 33
2017-10-19	28	1st	4 7 24 25 30
2017-08-15	1	2nd	3 4 8 33 34
2017-08-12	11	1st	4 9 27 30 35
2017-07-18	2	2nd	1 4 12 26 32
2017-07-13	5	2nd	3 4 10 21 34
2017-07-01	2	1st	4 14 16 22 31
2017-06-27	14	1st	4 13 22 23 25
2017-05-25	2	1st	4 11 23 27 28
2017-05-20	3	1st	4 5 11 22 33
2017-05-13	3	2nd	1 4 5 12 20
2017-05-06	3	1st	4 12 19 21 26
2017-04-29	10	2nd	3 4 9 15 23
2017-04-06	5	1st	4 5 23 29 34
2017-03-25	1	2nd	1 4 23 24 28
2017-03-23	6	2nd	1 4 12 25 26
2017-03-09	9	2nd	2 4 5 17 33
2017-02-16	4	1st	4 9 10 12 16
2017-02-07	24	1st	4 7 8 18 26
2016-12-13	1	1st	4 7 14 23 34
2016-12-10	1	2nd	2 4 9 17 32
2016-12-08	8	1st	4 6 13 16 24
2016-11-19	—	2nd	1 4 9 24 25