In Wild Money under the 5/38 + 1/38 · since Apr 2025 rules — 540 draws, 5 from 1–38.
82times drawn · chance expected 71 +1.39σ
10draws waiting · a wait this long: 28% for any number
6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.6
23longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long
38 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 82 times in 540 draws against 71.1 expected, +1.39σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 17 times, counted separately.
38
Number 38, draw by draw
Drawn 82 times in 540 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 10 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 37 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 5/38 tonight whatever it did last week.