In Powerball Double Play under the 5/69 + 1/26 · since Aug 2021 rules — 805 draws, 5 from 1–69.
64times drawn · chance expected 58 +0.77σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 74% for any number
12.6average wait between appearances · chance says 13.8
45longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 64 times in 805 draws against 58.3 expected, +0.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 64 times in 805 draws · average wait 12.6 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 3 of the other 68 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 69. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/69 tonight whatever it did last week.