In Powerball Double Play under the 5/69 + 1/26 · since Aug 2021 rules — 806 draws, 5 from 1–69.
63times drawn · chance expected 58 +0.62σ
9draws waiting · a wait this long: 55% for any number
12.8average wait between appearances · chance says 13.8
53longest completed wait · 71% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 63 times in 806 draws against 58.4 expected, +0.62σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 63 times in 806 draws · average wait 12.8 draws · longest completed wait 53 · waiting 9 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 68 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 69. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/69 tonight whatever it did last week.