In Powerball Double Play under the 5/69 + 1/26 · since Aug 2021 rules — 805 draws, 5 from 1–69.
52times drawn · chance expected 58 −0.86σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 86% for any number
15.3average wait between appearances · chance says 13.8
60longest completed wait · 45% chance of one at least that long
22 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 52 times in 805 draws against 58.3 expected, −0.86σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
22
Number 22, draw by draw
Drawn 52 times in 805 draws · average wait 15.3 draws · longest completed wait 60 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 68 numbers; chance expects about 3 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 69. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/69 tonight whatever it did last week.