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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball Double Play · draw

Saturday, 23 October 2021

ResultPowerball Double Play

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 11
  5. 33
  6. 7

Jackpot$86,800,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Aug 2021draw 27 of 806 under them

← 2021-10-20All recent draws2021-10-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 10 11 33 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd65th
  • low99th
  • widest gap46th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

32times
80times
102times
111time
33

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.5Mto 489k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 522%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Powerball18%$800.0K
  • Match 0 plus Powerball35%$1.6M
  • 7 other tiers25%$1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Powerball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

75times

Every number was expected about that many times after 26 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 October 2021 — its closest relative in 26 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

65

The numbers add up to 65 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$86,800,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.0 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Powerball2 rows folded in14≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4225≈ 335 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Powerball2 rows folded in798≈ 845 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Powerball2 rows folded in16,766≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 314,956≈ 21k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Powerball2 rows folded in130,964≈ 133k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Powerball2 rows folded in319,711≈ 320k by chance$4.00
  • Match 50$2,000,000
  • Match 472$200
  • Match 35,038$14.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,956 winners, 29% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 plus Powerball0$86,800,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 4 plus Powerball12$50,000
    Match 4225$100
    Match 3 plus Powerball604$100
    Match 314,956$7.00
    Match 2 plus Powerball12,624$7.00
    Match 1 plus Powerball98,578$4.00
    Match 0 plus Powerball239,593$4.00
    Match 5 (with Power Play)0$2,000,000
    Match 4 plus Powerball (with Power Play)2$100,000
    Match 4 (with Power Play)72$200
    Match 3 plus Powerball (with Power Play)194$200
    Match 3 (with Power Play)5,038$14.00
    Match 2 plus Powerball (with Power Play)4,142$14.00
    Match 1 plus Powerball (with Power Play)32,386$8.00
    Match 0 plus Powerball (with Power Play)80,118$8.00
    Totals488,545—