Number 4

In Powerball Double Play under the 5/69 + 1/26 · since Aug 2021 rules — 804 draws, 5 from 1–69.

61times drawn · chance expected 58 +0.37σ

25draws waiting · a wait this long: 16% for any number

12.9average wait between appearances · chance says 13.8

75longest completed wait · 21% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 61 times in 804 draws against 58.3 expected, +0.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 25 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 61 times in 804 draws · average wait 12.9 draws · longest completed wait 75 · waiting 25 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest54 · chance 50.7
2nd smallest7 · chance 9.8
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.5
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

56 21 6 15 19 29

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 68 numbers; chance expected about 2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 69. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-12	1	2nd	3 4 19 21 58
2026-08-10	16	1st	4 23 31 32 57
2026-07-04	15	1st	4 19 24 25 41
2026-05-30	1	1st	4 27

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/69 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-09-04	1	1st	4 21 34 35 41
2024-09-02	17	1st	4 12 13 16 67
2024-07-24	12	1st	4 9 20 47 51
2024-06-26	9	1st	4 19 27 37 56
2024-06-05	56	1st	4 11 20 45 49
2024-01-27	12	1st	4 28 34 50 61
2023-12-30	26	2nd	1 4 5 6 42
2023-10-30	75	2nd	1 4 8 11 66
2023-05-08	10	1st	4 31 50 53 63
2023-04-15	21	1st	4 6 15 19 28
2023-02-25	3	1st	4 6 39 60 66
2023-02-18	7	1st	4 36 39 44 46
2023-02-01	6	1st	4 23 39 57 63
2023-01-18	9	1st	4 11 14 54 69
2022-12-28	11	1st	4 10 14 41 56
2022-12-03	10	1st	4 10 23 43 64
2022-11-09	2	1st	4 15 31 52 62
2022-11-05	7	1st	4 23 27 31 56
2022-10-19	3	1st	4 24 32 55 59
2022-10-12	1	1st	4 22 36 39 64
2022-10-10	3	1st	4 24 35 52 62
2022-10-03	11	1st	4 5 50 66 67
2022-09-07	2	1st	4 26 28 29 42
2022-09-03	19	1st	4 9 15 33 46
2022-07-20	8	1st	4 14 26 30 52
2022-07-02	5	1st	4 7 22 57 59
2022-06-20	26	1st	4 26 27 43 56
2022-04-20	6	1st	4 15 16 21 52
2022-04-06	11	1st	4 29 56 57 58
2022-03-12	12	1st	4 16 40 49 50
2022-02-12	17	1st	4 6 15 53 61
2022-01-03	1	1st	4 19 26 64 65
2022-01-01	4	1st	4 6 7 10 30
2021-12-22	27	1st	4 25 49 59 61
2021-10-20	7	2nd	1 4 31 37 64
2021-10-04	13	1st	4 13 18 61 63
2021-09-04	—	1st	4 40 42 49 54