Number 21

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 2023 rules — 523 draws, 5 from 1–41.

80times drawn · chance expected 64 +2.17σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

29longest completed wait · 88% chance of one at least that long

21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 80 times in 523 draws against 63.8 expected, +2.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 80 times in 523 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 4.2
2nd smallest17 · chance 20.0
3rd smallest36 · chance 31.6
4th smallest20 · chance 20.0
5th smallest5 · chance 4.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 24 13 19 2 31

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-07	6	4th	2 3 6 21 23
2026-09-23	11	4th	10 15 20 21 30
2026-08-29	7	4th	5 6 18 21 23
2026-08-12	4	2nd	12 21

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-05-21	1	3rd	2 20 21 22 26
2025-05-19	8	2nd	12 21 22 27 28
2025-04-30	6	4th	4 9 14 21 29
2025-04-16	3	3rd	9 11 21 31 38
2025-04-09	4	3rd	4 14 21 30 37
2025-03-31	4	4th	1 13 14 21 29
2025-03-22	2	3rd	2 4 21 22 34
2025-03-17	1	3rd	7 18 21 25 35
2025-03-15	1	2nd	12 21 26 30 31
2025-03-12	23	4th	10 12 13 21 30
2025-01-18	3	4th	2 4 16 21 32
2025-01-11	4	3rd	9 16 21 24 36
2025-01-01	4	3rd	1 19 21 24 27
2024-12-23	7	3rd	16 18 21 24 37
2024-12-07	1	3rd	2 19 21 24 28
2024-12-04	5	3rd	3 5 21 28 37
2024-11-23	16	2nd	19 21 30 32 37
2024-10-16	2	5th	2 5 7 14 21
2024-10-12	1	2nd	18 21 31 33 39
2024-10-09	15	3rd	10 15 21 26 32
2024-09-04	11	3rd	6 18 21 24 38
2024-08-10	1	3rd	9 15 21 22 40
2024-08-07	14	2nd	12 21 24 27 31
2024-07-06	4	3rd	8 12 21 35 38
2024-06-26	1	2nd	7 21 31 35 36
2024-06-24	4	3rd	8 11 21 25 34
2024-06-15	1	4th	7 14 18 21 24
2024-06-12	6	3rd	12 17 21 28 31
2024-05-29	7	3rd	13 19 21 36 40
2024-05-13	11	4th	4 5 19 21 34
2024-04-17	5	4th	13 14 18 21 41
2024-04-06	3	3rd	8 19 21 27 41
2024-03-30	13	4th	10 13 15 21 27
2024-02-28	11	1st	21 22 24 25 30
2024-02-03	4	4th	8 12 15 21 25
2024-01-24	1	3rd	2 4 21 24 26
2024-01-22	3	3rd	3 9 21 24 37
2024-01-15	7	2nd	11 21 23 30 37
2023-12-30	1	4th	6 11 13 21 26
2023-12-27	7	3rd	7 20 21 31 36
2023-12-11	2	5th	3 7 17 20 21
2023-12-06	4	3rd	1 4 21 26 40
2023-11-27	3	3rd	9 16 21 22 29
2023-11-20	2	4th	5 13 17 21 39
2023-11-15	5	3rd	19 20 21 24 33
2023-11-04	2	4th	7 12 18 21 32
2023-10-30	1	2nd	15 21 27 36 41
2023-10-28	3	3rd	1 13 21 26 29
2023-10-21	5	3rd	2 14 21 22 34
2023-10-09	2	2nd	17 21 27 35 41
2023-10-04	4	2nd	1 21 33 34 41
2023-09-25	16	2nd	6 21 31 38 39
2023-08-05	4	2nd	13 21 27 32 40
2023-07-22	2	4th	11 13 16 21 35
2023-07-15	16	3rd	7 19 21 34 35
2023-05-20	—	3rd	2 19 21 29 39