Wednesday, 28 February 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 18, 27, 28) with the draw of 7 September 2022 — its closest relative in 192 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 126 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.