In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Mar 2011 rules — 285 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).
40times drawn · chance expected 37 +0.61σ
7draws waiting · a wait this long: 44% for any number
6.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
20longest completed wait · 95% chance of one at least that long
14 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 40 times in 285 draws against 36.5 expected, +0.61σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
14
Number 14, draw by draw
Drawn 40 times in 285 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.6 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.