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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · AZ · ball game
Latest drawThursday, 15 October 2026
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 16 Oct 2026, 04:42 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–41. 5,531 draws held here since 2010-04-06 — 5,246 under the current rules.
Fantasy 5 changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 5,246 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Fantasy 5 come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Fantasy 5 already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 5,246 draws every number is expected about 640 times, and a ball favoured by more than 15% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 4% of the time it waits 25 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 105, give or take 25. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

41.8% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

820 possible pairs, each expected together 64.0 times so far — and about 8 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 41 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

50% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 100.0% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 7.0 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 34 draws for every one of the 41 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

749,398 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 5,246 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 35. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/41 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/41 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-41 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 640 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,245 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 14, 24, 36) with the draw of 25 July 2024 — its closest relative in 5,245 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 107 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →The side bet sold beside the ticket. How many people buy it is not published; the prize table gives it away, because a multiplied outcome is reported twice — once for the tickets that paid the extra, once for those that did not.
320 draws, 2020-08-19 to 2026-10-10 · read at m2
This add-on changes the odds rather than the prize, so it has no multiplier to price. Take-up only.
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 16 Oct 2026, 04:42 UTC.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 640 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,245 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 22 | 21.8 |
| 3–5 | 18 | 17.9 |
| 6–8 | 9 | 14.7 |
| 9–11 | 9 | 12.1 |
| 12–14 | 7 | 9.9 |
| 15–17 | 10 | 8.1 |
| 18–20 | 10 | 6.7 |
| 21–23 | 6 | 5.5 |
| 24–26 | 4 | 4.5 |
| 27–29 | 6 | 3.7 |
| 30+ | 21 | 17.0 |
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 640 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,244 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (23, 25, 27, 37) with the draw of 9 March 2018 — its closest relative in 5,244 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,243 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 11, 18) with the draw of 11 October 2026 — its closest relative in 5,243 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 71 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19, 19–20. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,242 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 33, 37, 41) with the draw of 8 July 2021 — its closest relative in 5,242 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2026): 41 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 152 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,241 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 18, 41) with the draw of 18 August 2026 — its closest relative in 5,241 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): 41 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 95 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,240 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 16, 40, 41) with the draw of 29 January 2019 — its closest relative in 5,240 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2026): 16 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,239 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 29, 38, 39) with the draw of 19 October 2021 — its closest relative in 5,239 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,238 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 5, 13, 35) with the draw of 14 March 2016 — its closest relative in 5,238 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 93 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,237 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 20, 22, 36) with the draw of 21 March 2025 — its closest relative in 5,237 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): 22, 36 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 639 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,236 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 17, 22) with the draw of 6 August 2025 — its closest relative in 5,236 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 638 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,235 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 20, 27) with the draw of 12 July 2026 — its closest relative in 5,235 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 17 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 638 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 5,234 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 11, 18, 19) with the draw of 23 October 2017 — its closest relative in 5,234 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 64 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12, 18–19. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →