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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 3 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 28
  4. 32
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$7,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 517 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-09-29All recent draws2018-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 28 32 39 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

185times
1675times
2874times
3276times
39

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$244.1Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$40.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball55%NZ$135.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$35.8K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$33.1K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

71times
4075times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

267times

Every number was expected about that many times after 516 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 32, 39, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 June 2016 — its closest relative in 516 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2018): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$7,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$1,910
  • Match 4 + Powerball691≈ 633 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,008≈ 9.0k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball40NZ$112
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball832NZ$43.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 691 winners, 9% more than the 633 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$7,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball15NZ$1,910
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball40NZ$112
    Match 4 + Powerball691NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball832NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,008NZ$15.00
    Totals10,586—