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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 26 September 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 32
  5. 36
  6. 40
  7. 1

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 515 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-09-22All recent draws2018-09-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 23 26 32 36 40 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

17oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 17 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd5th
  • low1th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

2273times
2378times
2676times
3274times
36

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$246.8Kto 8.8k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$35.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball45%NZ$111.4K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball18%NZ$44.8K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$54.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

81times
4074times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

148times

Every number was expected about that many times after 514 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 23, 26, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 August 2016 — its closest relative in 514 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2018): 22, 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

179

The numbers add up to 179 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball13≈ 13 by chanceNZ$1,420
  • Match 4 + Powerball588≈ 522 by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball7,425≈ 7.4k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$44,769
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball28NZ$136
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball708NZ$46.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 588 winners, 13% more than the 522 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$44,769
    Match 5 + Powerball13NZ$1,420
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball28NZ$136
    Match 4 + Powerball588NZ$61.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball708NZ$46.00
    Match 3 + Powerball7,425NZ$15.00
    Totals8,763—