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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In SiVinceTutto under the 6/90 · since Sep 2024 rules — 106 draws, 6 from 1–90.
Drawn 9 times in 106 draws against 7.1 expected, +0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 9 times in 106 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 12 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 50 of the other 89 numbers; chance expects about 54 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-10-01 | 17 | 1st | 103345626788 |
| 2025-06-04 | 2 | 1st | 102454647587 |
| 2025-05-21 | 12 | 4th | 345105680 |
| 2025-02-26 | 10 | 2nd | 41026345990 |
| 2024-12-11 | — | 1st | 101416235084 |