In SiVinceTutto under the 6/90 · since Sep 2024 rules — 106 draws, 6 from 1–90.
6times drawn · chance expected 7 −0.42σ
18draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number
11.8average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
32longest completed wait · 47% chance of one at least that long
2 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 6 times in 106 draws against 7.1 expected, −0.42σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
2
Number 2, draw by draw
Drawn 6 times in 106 draws · average wait 11.8 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 18 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 65 of the other 89 numbers; chance expects about 64 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.