Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In SiVinceTutto under the 6/90 · since Sep 2024 rules — 106 draws, 6 from 1–90.
Drawn 5 times in 106 draws against 7.1 expected, −0.80σ. Each draw is independent: after 31 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 5 times in 106 draws · average wait 15.8 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 31 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 84 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 66 of the other 89 numbers; chance expects about 67 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 84 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 38th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 84 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 84 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2024-12-11 | — | 6th | 101416235084 |