Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In SiVinceTutto under the 6/90 · since Sep 2024 rules — 106 draws, 6 from 1–90.
Drawn 9 times in 106 draws against 7.1 expected, +0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 9 times in 106 draws · average wait 8.9 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 16 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 51 of the other 89 numbers; chance expects about 54 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-08-20 | 2 | 1st | 3922356468 |
| 2025-08-06 | 5 | 1st | 31316616981 |
| 2025-07-02 | 6 | 1st | 31235485581 |
| 2025-05-21 | 15 | 1st | 345105680 |
| 2025-02-05 | — | 1st | 31516193674 |