In SiVinceTutto under the 6/90 · since Sep 2024 rules — 106 draws, 6 from 1–90.
6times drawn · chance expected 7 −0.42σ
13draws waiting · a wait this long: 44% for any number
16.8average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
46longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long
46 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 6 times in 106 draws against 7.1 expected, −0.42σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
46
Number 46, draw by draw
Drawn 6 times in 106 draws · average wait 16.8 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 13 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 46 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 64 of the other 89 numbers; chance expects about 64 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 46 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 38th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 46 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.