In EuroDreams under the 6/40 + 1/5 · since Nov 2023 rules — 307 draws, 6 from 1–40.
38times drawn · chance expected 46 −1.29σ
27draws waiting · a wait this long: 1% for any number
7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
37longest completed wait · 10% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 38 times in 307 draws against 46.0 expected, −1.29σ. Each draw is independent: after 27 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
5
Number 5, draw by draw
Drawn 38 times in 307 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 27 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 39 numbers; chance expects about 0.3 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.