In EuroDreams under the 6/40 + 1/5 · since Nov 2023 rules — 308 draws, 6 from 1–40.
48times drawn · chance expected 46 +0.29σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number
6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
35longest completed wait · 17% chance of one at least that long
18 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 48 times in 308 draws against 46.2 expected, +0.29σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
18
Number 18, draw by draw
Drawn 48 times in 308 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.