In EuroDreams under the 6/40 + 1/5 · since Nov 2023 rules — 307 draws, 6 from 1–40.
42times drawn · chance expected 46 −0.65σ
7draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number
7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
26longest completed wait · 51% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 42 times in 307 draws against 46.0 expected, −0.65σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 42 times in 307 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.