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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In EuroDreams under the 6/40 + 1/5 · since Nov 2023 rules — 308 draws, 6 from 1–40.
Drawn 40 times in 308 draws against 46.2 expected, −0.99σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 40 times in 308 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 41 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 31 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 39 numbers; chance expects about 0.2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 31 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 31 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 24 | 4th | 41927313439 |
| 2026-07-23 | 12 | 5th | 3417213133 |
| 2026-06-11 | 3 | 5th | 61822253132 |
| 2026-06-01 | 12 | 4th | 41523313439 |
| 2026-04-20 | 1 | 6th | 5715242631 |
| 2026-04-16 | 27 | 5th | 232428293140 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1 | 6th | 91518232731 |
| 2026-01-08 | 7 | 5th | 51524263134 |
| 2025-12-15 | 7 | 4th | 82223313940 |
| 2025-11-20 | 4 | 6th | 71720283031 |
| 2025-11-06 | 4 | 4th | 111315313334 |
| 2025-10-23 | 5 | 6th | 81720212431 |
| 2025-10-06 | 8 | 4th | 182630313640 |
| 2025-09-08 | 2 | 6th | 135112031 |
| 2025-09-01 | 4 | 4th | 62230313233 |
| 2025-08-18 | 8 | 2nd | 13133353640 |
| 2025-07-21 | 6 | 6th | 348112631 |
| 2025-06-30 | 7 | 4th | 1722313739 |
| 2025-06-05 | 4 | 5th | 101719283132 |
| 2025-05-22 | 41 | 5th | 1515263136 |
| 2024-12-30 | 20 | 5th | 81521243140 |
| 2024-10-21 | 2 | 4th | 7914313638 |
| 2024-10-14 | 5 | 5th | 31012173137 |
| 2024-09-26 | 1 | 4th | 91921313239 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 31 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2024-08-05 | 5 | 5th | 31013163138 |
| 2024-07-18 | 11 | 4th | 82228313840 |
| 2024-06-10 | 1 | 4th | 4727313340 |
| 2024-06-06 | 4 | 6th | 121524282931 |
| 2024-05-23 | 9 | 6th | 7813142331 |
| 2024-04-22 | 5 | 4th | 62324313239 |
| 2024-04-04 | 8 | 6th | 91012142031 |
| 2024-03-07 | 2 | 4th | 131523313539 |
| 2024-02-29 | 11 | 4th | 101121313840 |
| 2024-01-22 | 3 | 5th | 81625293134 |
| 2024-01-11 | 18 | 5th | 5724293138 |
| 2023-11-09 | — | 4th | 141619313237 |