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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£120,532,068
The crowdHeld 47% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 922 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 154 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 921 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 23, 32, 36) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 February 2021 — its closest relative in 921 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,597,566 winners, 47% more than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,597,566 | £2.40 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 568,250 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 126,862 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 109,645 | £5.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,762 | £12.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 39,057 | £8.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,611 | £54.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,261 | £27.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 854 | £96.90 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27 | £1,665 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £16,032 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £123,476 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £120,532,068 |