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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£96,797,541
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 920 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 919 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 42, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 July 2025 — its closest relative in 919 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 July 2025): 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 144 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,500,884 winners, 8% fewer than the 1.6M an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,500,884 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 709,562 | £3.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 190,854 | £4.00 |
| Match 3 | 106,931 | £5.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37,716 | £8.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 49,680 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,628 | £33.40 |
| Match 4 | 2,432 | £25.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,189 | £69.90 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 52 | £868 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £18,114 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £77,503 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £96,797,541 |