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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,606,000
The crowdHeld 55% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 265 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 264 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 November 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 264 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 15, 19) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 23 July 2013 — its closest relative in 264 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 November 2013): 15 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 936,517 winners, 55% more than the 603k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 936,517 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 367,278 | £6.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 87,926 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 | 59,713 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 16,244 | £20.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 23,652 | £13.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,017 | £69.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,188 | £83.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 465 | £214 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19 | £5,972 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £32,420 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,606,000 |