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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£21,186,644
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 266 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 265 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 265 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 40, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 April 2013 — its closest relative in 265 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 November 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 154 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →50 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 747,478 winners, 22% more than the 614k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,383,047 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 747,478 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 179,120 | £7.90 |
| Match 3 | 95,111 | £8.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,268 | £14.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 51,534 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,333 | £47.00 |
| Match 4 | 2,046 | £75.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,147 | £134 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 60 | £2,928 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £29,284 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 13 | £81,094 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £21,186,644 |