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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£83,830,000
The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 264 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 263 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 263 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 15, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 September 2012 — its closest relative in 263 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 November 2013): 29 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 102 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈57M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 5,594 winners, 42% more than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 3,036,600 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,426,925 | £5.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 361,622 | £7.60 |
| Match 3 | 227,662 | £6.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 70,063 | £13.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 105,363 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,076 | £41.90 |
| Match 4 | 5,594 | £53.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,463 | £121 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 126 | £2,705 |
| Match 5 | 24 | £28,407 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £227,257 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £83,830,000 |