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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£46,793,456
The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 53 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 52 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 52 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 4) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 October 2011 — its closest relative in 52 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 89 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 73,311 winners, 14% fewer than the 85k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,050,990 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 597,957 | £4.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 177,958 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 73,311 | £8.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36,414 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 42,871 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,543 | £32.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,730 | £67.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,012 | £115 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 61 | £2,182 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £33,276 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | — |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £46,793,456 |