Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£13,152,000
The crowdHeld 67% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 45 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 44 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 44 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 July 2011 — its closest relative in 44 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 81 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,952 winners, 82% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,132,120 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 475,482 | £5.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 98,854 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 | 79,558 | £7.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,612 | £19.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 32,952 | £10.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,297 | £61.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,952 | £57.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 846 | £133 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £4,418 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £42,703 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £153,732 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £13,152,000 |