Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,130,874
The crowdHeld 39% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 46 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 45 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 45 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 23) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 July 2011 — its closest relative in 45 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2011): 12 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈60M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,598,247 winners, 39% fewer than the 2.6M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,598,247 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 984,633 | £4.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 383,529 | £4.20 |
| Match 3 | 115,646 | £8.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 74,813 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 71,994 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,373 | £23.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,745 | £64.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,827 | £96.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 120 | £1,685 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £33,704 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 13 | £93,334 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £24,130,874 |