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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£101,203,600
The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 44 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 43 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 43 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (26, 38) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 September 2011 — its closest relative in 43 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 October 2011): 38 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈72M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,173,189 winners, 31% fewer than the 3.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,173,189 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,225,131 | £5.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 457,661 | £5.10 |
| Match 3 | 161,650 | £8.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 88,082 | £9.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 93,159 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,980 | £25.90 |
| Match 4 | 5,226 | £48.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 3,101 | £81.80 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 292 | £993 |
| Match 5 | 23 | £25,220 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 15 | £116,013 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £101,203,600 |