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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£13,269,000
The crowdHeld 5% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 373 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 372 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 April 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 372 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 22, 33) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 April 2006 — its closest relative in 372 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 March 2011): 21, 33 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈49M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,084 winners, 34% more than the 3.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,344,193 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 480,101 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 167,608 | £8.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 103,548 | £12.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 104,845 | £14.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 8,084 | £35.80 |
| Match 4 | 4,084 | £49.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,576 | £113 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 198 | £2,196 |
| Match 5 | 22 | £27,672 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | — |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £13,269,000 |