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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£121,722,016
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 372 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 371 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 371 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (21, 33) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 November 2010 — its closest relative in 371 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 March 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈135M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 2,796,521 winners, 20% fewer than the 3.5M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 2,796,521 | £5.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,316,260 | £4.80 |
| Match 3 | 303,705 | £9.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 276,291 | £10.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 205,538 | £15.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,868 | £30.40 |
| Match 4 | 8,095 | £54.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 5,400 | £117 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 553 | £1,721 |
| Match 5 | 34 | £39,188 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 18 | £260,836 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2 | £60,861,008 |