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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£13,275,000
The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 374 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 373 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 April 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 373 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 23, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 November 2010 — its closest relative in 373 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 April 2011): 21 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 179 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈45M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,455 winners, 22% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,024,268 | £6.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 442,333 | £6.60 |
| Match 3 | 110,756 | £12.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 78,779 | £16.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 68,332 | £21.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,213 | £55.50 |
| Match 4 | 2,448 | £82.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,455 | £199 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 111 | £3,917 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £67,627 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £357,456 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £13,275,000 |