In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 504 draws, 5 from 1–49.
31times drawn · chance expected 51 −3.01σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 65% for any number
16.6average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
96longest completed wait · 0.1% chance of one at least that long
44 looks unusual on its own — and unremarkable among 49 numbers
Drawn 31 times in 504 draws against 51.4 expected, −3.01σ. Testing all 49 numbers at once means about 0.5 should look this way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.0e-4 and this does not pass it.
44
Number 44, draw by draw
Drawn 31 times in 504 draws · average wait 16.6 draws · longest completed wait 96 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 44 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 44 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 44 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.