In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 505 draws, 5 from 1–49.
45times drawn · chance expected 52 −0.96σ
11draws waiting · a wait this long: 34% for any number
11.1average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
67longest completed wait · 4% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 45 times in 505 draws against 51.5 expected, −0.96σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 45 times in 505 draws · average wait 11.1 draws · longest completed wait 67 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 1 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.