Number 49

In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 504 draws, 5 from 1–49.

11times drawn · chance expected 51 −5.95σ

407draws waiting · a wait this long: <0.1% for any number

9.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

21longest completed wait · 71% chance of one at least that long

49 deviates beyond what chance explains for a pool of 49

Drawn 11 times in 504 draws against 51.4 expected, −5.95σ. It passes even the threshold tightened for testing every number at once. Read the draw-by-draw history below before reading anything into it — and it still says nothing about the next draw.

Number 49, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 504 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 407 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 49 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest11 · chance 11.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

44 24 27 9 12 28

Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 49 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 49 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-08-29	7	5th	17 27 34 44 49
2025-08-22	21	5th	9 12 28 41 49
2025-08-01	14	5th	9 15 24 28 49
2025-07-18	18	5th	12 37

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 49 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.